For the FA Cup's fourth round, Man City vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, betting advice, and best bets
Arsenal and Manchester City are vying for the Premier League championship, but their rivalry also spills over into local knockout tournaments as they face off at the Etihad Stadium in the fourth round of the FA Cup.
The Gunners have a five-point lead over Man City at the top of the table and have a game in hand, so even though the Citizens are far from out of it, they will try to snag a victory in a different tournament knowing they might not be able to catch their rivals in league play.
Knowing there are still numerous contests to compete in, it will be interesting to watch which manager fields a first-choice lineup. The Premier League title race is undoubtedly of the utmost importance, but both teams are also still in the running in other European competitions, with Man City preparing for a match against RB Leipzig in the Champions League Round of 16 and Arsenal anticipating their Europa League Round of 16 matchup.
At the conclusion of this game (assuming we don't go to a replay), one significant Premier League challenger will end up being eliminated from both domestic tournaments earlier than planned.
odds for Man City vs. Arsenal
odds for Man City vs. Arsenal
Arsenal may be in first place in the Premier League standings, but Man City is still by much the favourite at home in this game. Some of that may be due to the circumstances that each team faced: While Man City is undoubtedly in the running for the league, they are out of the Carabao Cup and may place a larger importance on this match. Arsenal is pushing for the Premier League crown and may consider the FA Cup to be a distraction.
Man City's edge over the other teams in these odds also reflects the narrative in the Premier League this season. Even though Arsenal has been leading the league for some time, bookmakers have just recently started to rank them as the favourites to win the title.
odds from SkyBet (UK), Neds, Sports Interaction (Canada), and BetMGM (USA) (Australia).
3 things to know before Man City vs. Arsenal
Prediction for Man City vs. Arsenal
odds from SkyBet (UK), Neds, Sports Interaction (Canada), and BetMGM (USA) (Australia).
| BetMGM | Sports Interaction | SkyBet | Neds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City win | -135 | -115 | 7/10 | 1.73 |
| Draw | +300 | +227 | 3/1 | 3.70 |
| Arsenal win | +333 | +332 | 7/2 | 4.40 |
| Both teams to score Y / N | -160 / +110 | -167 / +106 | 8/13, 6/5 | 1.57 / 2.25 |
| Over / Under 2.5 goals | -160 / +115 | -154 / +115 | 8/13, 6/5 | 1.60 / 2.20 |
| Man City -0.5 | -145 | -133 | — | — |
| Arsenal +0.5 | +105 | +105 | — | — |
3 things to know before Man City vs. Arsenal
Arsenal vs. Man City match statistics
- Date: January 27, a Friday
- Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET, 8:00 PM GMT, and 7:00 AM AEDT (Sat, Jan. 28)
- Address: Etihad Stadium (Manchester, England)
- Authentic: Paul Tierney
Arsenal vs. Man City team news
Pep Guardiola, the manager of City, has little to worry about because he has an almost totally fit team for this game. The one area of concern is Phil Foden, who missed last weekend's Premier League victory over Wolves due to a foot problem. With Ederson scheduled for a night off, Stefan Ortega will probably continue to serve as the team's goalkeeper for the Cup, and Kyle Walker and Bernardo Silva should make their comebacks after sitting on the bench against Wolves.
In addition, Arsenal is in good health as they compete for titles on several fronts. The Gunners' depth is compromised by a knee injury to backup midfielder Mohamed Elneny, who might push a regular starter into action. Manager Mikel Arteta has acknowledged that the club may look to the transfer market to solve this issue. Reiss Nelson and Cedric Soares are the other absentees owing to muscular problems, along with Gabriel Jesus, who is still not present. Cedric Soares is also anticipated to shortly join Fulham. In order to give Aaron Ramsdale a break, American goalkeeper Matt Turner will probably take over in net as he continues to play in cup games.
Key data for Man City vs. Arsenal
- In their most recent FA Cup match, Man City defeated Arsenal 2-0, but since then, City has won all five meetings, including four in Premier League play and one in the Carabao Cup.
- In the event that Man City lost, they would be eliminated from both domestic cup competitions in the fourth round, which would be the earliest elimination since the 2014–15 season.
- Arsenal's Martin Odegaard is fourth in the Premier League with 4.39 xA (expected assists) thus far this year. The highest xG (expected goals) score among the top 10 chance creators belongs to Odegaard, demonstrating his dual-threat character. Gabriel Martinelli (4.31 xG and 4.21 xA) and Bukayo Saka (6.08 xG and 3.08 xA), who are teammates, also have comparable characteristics.
Prediction for Man City vs. Arsenal
- Arsenal (+333) is a moneyline favourite.
- Leaning towards the underdog: Arsenal +0.5 (+105)
- Predicted result: Man City 1-2 Arsenal
This is a very challenging one. Pep Guardiola's teams can be difficult to contain, especially at home, and this Man City club seems like they might be seeking retribution after losing to their rivals for the league title. Additionally, City has recently faced off against Arsenal a few times, including a 2-1 victory on New Year's Day 2022 in Premier League action that saw Bernardo Silva snatch Man City a deserving victory late.
However, at the present odds, there is simply too much value in picking Arsenal at 3/1 or even at plus odds on a double chance. In front of the home crowd, it's simple to imagine Man City winning this game, yet given their recent performance, the odds strongly favour the Gunners.
However, at the present odds, there is simply too much value in picking Arsenal at 3/1 or even at plus odds on a double chance. In front of the home crowd, it's simple to imagine Man City winning this game, yet given their recent performance, the odds strongly favour the Gunners.
Best wager for Man City vs. Arsenal
- Pick: The half with the most points -- 2H
- Odds: -105 (BetMGM) (BetMGM)
Man City in particular has struggled mightily to get an early advantage over rivals, as 13 of their last 20 goals in all competitions have come after the interval. Arsenal, meanwhile, has scored multiple goals in the second half in three of their last five Premier League contests.
Although the second half is typically the 45 minutes with the highest scoring, this particular game is an exception. After the break, both Arsenal and Man City were more focused, and this will be true once more.
Additionally, neither team had a strong first-half finish; nevertheless, following the interval, their goal-scoring performance improved. In the first half, Man City and Arsenal both have a negative differential between expected goals and expected goals on target; however, in the second half, both of these differentials are positive. Man City scored 23 Premier League goals in the first half (20.23 xG and 17.81 xGOT), but they scored 30 goals (21.91 xG and 23.50 xGOT) after the break. Similar to other teams, Arsenal scored 26 goals on 21.43 xG and 22.09 xGOT after the break, including 19 goals on 16.98 xG and 14.58 xGOT before halfway.
Prop bet for Man City vs. Arsenal
- Choose Bukayo Saka plus one shot on goal
- Odds: +105 (FanDuel) (FanDuel)
Bukayo Saka started the season as one of Arsenal's top goal scorers, but as Gabriel Jesus established himself in the team's front line, he started to lose steam and switched to a more creative role. Saka has reemerged as Arsenal's primary offensive threat up front since Jesus sustained an injury during the World Cup.
Although Saka's shooting isn't always at a high level, he is picking his places wisely, and as a result, he has managed to get at least one shot on goal in four of their previous five Premier League games. Saka should continue to pose a challenge and might dominate Joao Cancelo.
TV channel for Man City vs. Arsenal live streaming
Best wager for Man City vs. Arsenal
- Pick: The half with the most points -- 2H
- Odds: -105 (BetMGM) (BetMGM)
Man City in particular has struggled mightily to get an early advantage over rivals, as 13 of their last 20 goals in all competitions have come after the interval. Arsenal, meanwhile, has scored multiple goals in the second half in three of their last five Premier League contests.
Although the second half is typically the 45 minutes with the highest scoring, this particular game is an exception. After the break, both Arsenal and Man City were more focused, and this will be true once more.
Additionally, neither team had a strong first-half finish; nevertheless, following the interval, their goal-scoring performance improved. In the first half, Man City and Arsenal both have a negative differential between expected goals and expected goals on target; however, in the second half, both of these differentials are positive. Man City scored 23 Premier League goals in the first half (20.23 xG and 17.81 xGOT), but they scored 30 goals (21.91 xG and 23.50 xGOT) after the break. Similar to other teams, Arsenal scored 26 goals on 21.43 xG and 22.09 xGOT after the break, including 19 goals on 16.98 xG and 14.58 xGOT before halfway.
Prop bet for Man City vs. Arsenal
- Choose Bukayo Saka plus one shot on goal
- Odds: +105 (FanDuel) (FanDuel)
Bukayo Saka started the season as one of Arsenal's top goal scorers, but as Gabriel Jesus established himself in the team's front line, he started to lose steam and switched to a more creative role. Saka has reemerged as Arsenal's primary offensive threat up front since Jesus sustained an injury during the World Cup.
Although Saka's shooting isn't always at a high level, he is picking his places wisely, and as a result, he has managed to get at least one shot on goal in four of their previous five Premier League games. Saka should continue to pose a challenge and might dominate Joao Cancelo.
TV channel for Man City vs. Arsenal live streaming
TV channel Streaming USA — ESPN+ Canada — DAZN UK ITV1 ITVX, STV Player Australia — Paramount+ New Zealand Sky Sports 7 beIN Sports beIN Sports Connect India — — Hong Kong myTV Super m Plus Live Malaysia Astro SuperSport 4 Astro Go, sooka Singapore — —
| TV channel | Streaming | |
|---|---|---|
| USA | — | ESPN+ |
| Canada | — | DAZN |
| UK | ITV1 | ITVX, STV Player |
| Australia | — | Paramount+ |
| New Zealand | Sky Sports 7 beIN Sports | beIN Sports Connect |
| India | — | — |
| Hong Kong | myTV Super | m Plus Live |
| Malaysia | Astro SuperSport 4 | Astro Go, sooka |
| Singapore | — | — |
